The Most Memorable Movies of All Time – Part 2: the 30s and 40s

In my last post, I discussed how I was inspired to compile a list of the most memorable movies of all time.   https://ralphkoppel.com/2015/02/17/the-most-memorable-movies-of-all-times/   I will be looking at movies in twenty year segments, which I will intersperse with my other blog entries.  At the end of this list I pick the most memorable movie of this time period.  In my last segment, I will pick the most memorable movie of all time using the finalist from each time period.  Of course, any list compilation is made to be disagreed with so I welcome other views on these movies.

To recap, here are the criteria for choosing the most memorable movie from each year:

  • Memorable movies become part of our culture.  They may directly become part of our culture, showcase stars who become part of our culture, or launch a genre that becomes part of our culture.
  • Sequels of memorable movies are not eligible.

1930 – Animal Crackers (The Marx Brothers)

Quotes – Hooray for Captain Spaulding! the African Explorer! | One morning I shot an elephant in my pajamas. How he got in my pajamas, I don’t know.

Comments – This movie is the essential Marx Brothers.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – All Quiet on the Western Front

1931 – Dracula (Bela Lugosi)

Quotes – I am Dracula. I bid you welcome.

Comments – Dracula was not the first vampire movie but it is the most famous.  It spawned countless vampire based movies and TV shows.

Honorable Mention – Frankenstein | The Public Enemy

Best Picture – Cimarron

1932 – Tarzan the Ape Man  (Johny Weismuller, Maureen Sullivan)

Quotes – The Tarzan Yell | Me Tarzan, You Jane

Comments – Me Tarzan, You Jane was not actually in the movie but since we are talking American culture, misquotes count.  Carol Burnett performed the Tarzan yell in almost every episode of her long-running TV show and Tarzan is one of the most famous movie characters ever.  There have been many movie Tarzans, but Johny Weismuller is the Tarzan everybody remembers.  Here is a link to his yell:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwHWbsvgQUE

Honorable Mention – Scarface | Dr Jekyll and Mr. Hyde

Best Picture – Grand Hotel

1933 – King Kong  (Fay Wray)

Quotes – It was beauty killed the beast.

Comments – The most memorable moment was King Kong climbing the Empire State Building.  If you’ve never heard Bob Newhart’s routine as the guard on duty at the Empire State Building that night, it is well worth listening to.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7Oh1SI9lbs

Honorable Mention – 42nd Street

Best Picture – Cavalcade

1934 – none

Comments – The Oscars have to have a winner every year.  I don’t have to.  I don’t think any movies from this year really stand out as memorable.  I considered “It Happened One Night” with the walls of Jericho but it didn’t quite meet up to my criteria.

Best Picture – It Happened One Night

1935 – none

Comments -I considered both Mutiny on the Bounty and Top Hat (Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers), but neither quite met my standard of becoming part of the American culture.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – Mutiny on the Bounty

1936 – Showboat  (Irene Dunn)

Quotes – Old Man River, that Old Man River

Comments -Showboat is the first true modern musical.  Before Showboat, musicals were just a collection of songs and dances strung together.  Showboat had a plot, a heart, and a message.  Paul Robson’s rendition of “Ol’ Man River” was stirring.  My father frequently would go around the house singing it.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – The Great Ziegfield

1937 – Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs  

Quotes – Hi Ho, Hi Ho, It’s Off to Work We Go! | Someday My prince will come.

Comments -Snow White was the first full length animated movie and is still a classic in its own right.  Almost eighty years after its debut, Disneyworld’s latest attraction is the Seven Dwarfs Mine Train.  That is a perfect example of what I mean by a movie becoming part of our culture.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – The Life of Emile Zola

1938 – The Adventures of Robin Hood (Errol Flynn and Olivia de Havilland) 

Quotes – Welcome to Sherwood (  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKOwaWUQCfI )

Comments -There have been many Robin Hood movies, but Errol Flynn is and always will be Robin Hood.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – You Can’t Take it With You

1939 – The Wizard of Oz (Judy Garland) 

Quotes -Toto, we’re not in Kansas any more. | I’ll get you my pretty and your little dog too! | Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain.

Comments -Gone With the Wind would have been the most memorable movie in any year but 1939.  Without a doubt, 1939 was the best year for great movies ever.  The Wizard of Oz is the American fairy tale, embedded in our culture like no other.

Honorable Mention – Gone With the Wind | Mr. Smith Goes to Washington |The Hunchback of Notre Dame, Good Bye Mr. Chips | The Hound of the Baskervilles | Beau Geste | Stagecoach (John Wayne) | Wuthering Heights

Best Picture – Gone With the Wind

1940 – Pinocchio

Quotes – A lie keeps growing and growing until it’s as plain as the nose on your face.

Comments – If you say you have never heard of Pinocchio, your nose will grow.

Honorable Mention – Grapes of Wrath, My Little Chickadee, Fantasia

Best Picture – Rebecca

1941 – Citizen Kane (Orson Welles)

Quotes -Rosebud.

Comments – This movie is mentioned as one of the greatest movies of all time and it lost the Academy Award to a movie that most people have never heard of.

Honorable Mention – Sergent York | Dumbo | The Wolf Man

Best Picture – How Green Was My Valley

1942 – The Pride of The Yankees (Gary Cooper)

Quotes -Today, I consider myself the luckiest man on the face of the Earth.

Comments – This is a movie where a single line, drawn from real life, made it one of the most memorable sports movies ever.

Honorable Mention – Yankee Doodle Dandy

Best Picture – Mrs. Miniver

1943 – Casablanca (Humphrey Bogart)

Quotes -Here’s looking at you, kid | We’ll always have Paris.  | Louie, this is the beginning of a beautiful friendship. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEWaqUVac3M

Comments – This is one of the few years where the academy got it right.  I could have filled this entire blog just with recognizable quotes from this movie.

Honorable Mention – Lassie Come Home | Phantom of the Opera

Best Picture – Casablanca

1944 – none

Comments – I strongly considered Arsenic and Old Lace, Meet Me in St. Louis, National Velvet, To Have and Have Not, and Double Indemnity, but none of these quite measure up to the standard of being embedded in the American Culture.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – Going My Way

1945 – none

Comments -This year didn’t have a single movie that I was even tempted to name as most memorable movie.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – The Lost Weekend

1946 – It’s a Wonderful Life (Jimmy Stewart)

Quotes -Every time a bell rings an angel gets his wings.

Comments – This movie, originally considered a disappointment, has become a holiday classic.  As a side note, the villain Henry Potter went on to have a more lucrative career using his nickname.

Honorable Mention – The Song of the South

Best Picture – The Best Years of Our Lives

1947 – Miracle on 34th Street (Natalie Wood)

Quotes -Your Honor, every one of these letters is addressed to Santa Claus. The Post Office has delivered them. Therefore the Post Office Department, a branch of the Federal Governent, recognizes this man Kris Kringle to be the one and only Santa Claus.

Comments – Macy’s is one of the biggest retailers in the world and it is still primarily known for its Santa Claus from this movie.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – Gentleman’s Agreement

1948 – The Treasure of the Sierra Madre (Humphrey Bogart)

Quotes -Badges? We ain’t got no badges. We don’t need no badges! I don’t have to show you any stinkin’ badges!

Comments – This line is often misquoted as “We don’t need no stinking badges!”.  This along with “Play it Again, Sam” misquoted from Casablanca led me to the conclusion that every great Humphrey Bogart film must have a famous misquote.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – Hamlet

1949 – none

Comments – This year didn’t have a single movie I seriously considered.

Honorable Mention – none

Best Picture – All the King’s Men

1930-1949 – The Wizard of Oz

The Most Memorable Movies of All Times – Part 1

I am taking a momentary break from my top ten bad assumption list, from politics, and from philosophy to talk about what is really important:  movies.  So often we see the Oscar for best picture awarded to a movie that is quickly forgotten, while other movies are ignored by the awards but embed themselves in our culture and become part of who we are.  I would argue that the true best movie of any year is not the movie with the best acting, the best cinematography, or receive the most critical claim.  The best movies are the movies that stand the test of time.

I just got back from a theme park visit to Orlando.  Disney’s Hollywood Studios is home to the Great Movie Ride, which re-creates and puts you inside such memorable movies as the Wizard of Oz, Mary Poppins, and Alien.  That night our group was having a conversation where my wife said “Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain.”  We all knew what she meant.  At that time I decided I wanted to identify for each year what I thought was the most memorable movie.

I used the following criteria for identifying the most memorable movies:

  • Memorable movies become part of our culture.  They may directly become part of our culture, showcase stars who become part of our culture, or launch a genre that becomes part of our culture.
  • Sequels of memorable movies are not eligible.

This first installment will identify the best movie by year for the 1930s-1940s.  Other installments will look at later decades.  Finally I will identify what I think is the most memorable movies of all time.    I will intersperse these around my other blog entries.  My next blog entry will be the most memorable movies of the thirties and forties.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 6 – Every problem has a good solution.

Alternate Assumption:  Some problems have no good solution.  We need to find the least bad solution.

I have an acquaintance who shall remain nameless.  In a recent election one candidate agreed with 90% of his views the other candidate agreed with 10%.  He refused to vote for the 90% candidate because of their differences.  I told him that if there was an election between Lincoln and Hitler he would say that Lincoln suspended Habeus Corpus so he wouldn’t vote at all or he would vote for Hitler.

We all like to think that every problem has a solution.  We strive for that perfect solution.  Unfortunately some problems are not soluble.  We seek to eliminate poverty, but there has always been poverty and there always will be.  There may never be peace in the Middle East.  The irony is that too often we reject solutions that might make things better because they aren’t perfect.  To quote Voltaire, “Perfect is the enemy of better!”

The perfect solution assumption hinders both the left and the right.  On the left, environmentalists predict that global warming due to carbon emissions will devastate the climate.  Lets assume for the moment that this is correct.  Cheaper natural gas produced from fracking has caused many power plants to convert away from high carbon emitting coal to clean natural gas.  So far, fracking has shown itself to be the only practical method for substantially reducing carbon emissions.  Environmentalists, however, oppose fracking because of environmental concerns about contamination.  Let’s assume now that these concerns are also valid.

The environmentalists predictions of the devastation caused by global warming far exceeds their predictions of damage caused by fracking.  To environmentalists, fracking should be the least bad of two bad alternatives.  Environmentalists though strongly oppose fracking.  Perfect is the enemy of better.

On the right, conservatives oppose Obamacare and want it repealed.  They wanted Congress to defund Obamacare which would of course result in an Obama veto and shutdown of the government.  Historical evidence shows that this would be very unpopular and it would reduce the chance of electing a Republican in the next election who might actually repeal it.  Perfect is the enemy of better.

The current Iran situation is a vivid example of this problem.  If economic sanctions don’t deter Iran from developing nuclear weapons, and there is no indication that they will deter Iran, then the world may have to choose between two horrible choices:

  • We can do nothing and let Iran, who supports terrorists, and has vowed to to annihilate Israel develop a nuclear bomb.
  • We can use military force to attack Iran to try to forcibly stop them.   This would throw the world into turmoil and might not even  be successful.

Both of these choices are terrible.  Which is worse?  If we do nothing, we have made a choice.

The search for the perfect solution often sounds very noble.  In real life, it can have devastating consequences.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 5 – The way to peace is to be so nice that nobody will want to attack us.

Alternate Assumption:  The way to peace is to be strong enough that nobody will dare to attack us.

The debate on whether it is better to wear iron or velvet gloves is not new.   Before World War II Winston Churchill argued that we needed to be strong and forceful to stop the Nazis.  Instead Neville Chamberlain, the prime minister of England at that time, appeased Hitler and declared that he had achieved “peace in our time”.  We all know what happened after that.  During the cold war the nuclear freeze movement argued that if we stop building nuclear weapons and eventually disarm, the Russians will stop being afraid of us and this will lead to peace.  In current times, we are fighting Islamic extremists.  The debate centers over whether we need to destroy the extremists or whether we need to stop provoking them.

It is easy to point to Neville Chamberlain and his policy of appeasement as proof of the need for peace through strength.  It isn’t that simple though.  The post-war Marshall plan achieved subsequent peace in western Europe through kindness.  In his book  “David vs. Goliath”, Malcolm Gladwell shows how the brutality of the British troops in Northern Ireland caused the country to explode.  I also think it is fair to state that over two hundred years ago if the British had been a lot nicer to the American colonists, there may never have been an American Revolution.

So it seems that sometimes “Peace through Strength” works best and sometimes “Peace through Kindness” works best.  How do we determine which to use then?  I believe that it depends on the mindset of who we are dealing with. The key words are “Live and Let Live”.

If you are dealing with “Live and Let Live” people then kindness is the best approach and you can negotiate for a “win/win” solution where both sides benefit.  These people don’t want to hurt you.  They just want to live their lives without you hurting them.

If, on the other hand, we are dealing with people who already want to kill you, who espouse a philosophy of “Live and Let Die”, then kindness  becomes appeasement.  These people do not believe in a “win/win” solution.  They only want “win/lose”.  In a win/win” negotiation, then a concession is seen as a first step to which the other side must also take a step towards you by making their own concession.  In a “win/lose” negotiation, any concession you make is seen as a sign of weakness and the other side hardens its demands, taking a step away from you.  Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak conceded on almost every issue to the Palestinians, giving them over 90% of their demands.  PLO leader Yasser Arafat responded by launching the infitada and its suicide bombers at Israel.

So when I say that “Peace through Kindness” is a bad assumption, I don’t mean that it is always wrong and without merit.  I believe it is a dangerous assumption when you are dealing with people who want to kill you.  When people have a “Live and Let Die” philosophy, you must be strong enough so they know they can’t kill you and live.  We avoided nuclear war throughout the cold war because the Russians knew if they killed us, we would kill them too.

Now we have a new challenge with enemies who have a philosophy of “Die and Let Die”.  These people can’t be deterred through kindness or strength.  They can only be destroyed.  Of course in the act of destroying them we risk turning other people who might currently “Live and Let Live” to “Live and Let Die”.

There is no simple, clean solution.  And that is the segue into the next bad assumption…

Misrepresenting Ayn Rand

I am taking a break from my top ten list of bad assumptions to respond to an article posted to Facebook about Rand.  This friend, whom I happen to think is a wonderful person, posted a link to an article saying how Ayn Rand devotees are greedy and selfish and are making America a bad country.  Here is the link:

http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/12/clinical-psychologist-explains-how-ayn-rand-helped-turn-the-us-into-a-selfish-and-greedy-nation/#.VI79xO_vcBo.facebook

This article starts with the following quote:

Ayn Rand’s “philosophy” is nearly perfect in its immorality, which makes the size of her audience all the more ominous and symptomatic as we enter a curious new phase in our society….To justify and extol human greed and egotism is to my mind not only immoral, but evil.— Gore Vidal, 1961

The author of this article, Bruce Levine, makes in essence two main arguments:

  • Ayn Rand herself was a horrible person.
  • Ayn Rand’s philosophy is that you shouldn’t care about anybody but yourself.  This philosophy causes people to be ruthless and manipulative and is evil.

First, let me address the attack on Ayn Rand as a person.  As a start, the events described in this article are, to my memory, consistent with the biography “Ayn Rand and The World She Made” by Anne Heller.    I can’t state how fairly this biography portrays Ayn Rand.  It shows both the good and not so good of Rand.  In his article Levine emphasizes two of the less flattering aspects of Rand’s life.

Before discussing the actual attacks on Rand’s personal life, I would like to point out this is an “ad hominem” attack, an  the attack on character rather than an attack on the idea.  This is a common fallacy.  For example, if I a scientist proves that smoking causes cancer, but still smokes, one might attack his research on the grounds that he a smoker and that if he believed his own research, he wouldn’t smoke.  His smoking may be evidence that he is personally flawed, but it has no relevance on the validity of his research.  Likewise, pointing out Ayn Rand’s flaws has no relevance to her philosophy and arguments.  It only can prove that she is not the Messiah.  Still, people do look to the philosopher when judging the philosophy, so I would like to address these two key aspects.

Levine dwells upon Rand’s extra-marital sexual relationship with her disciple Nathaniel Brandon, for which Rand gained the consent of both of their spouses.  In Atlas Shrugged, Rand’s heroine Dagne Taggert had an affair with one of her heroes, Hank Reardon, so it would not be fair to claim that monogamy was central to Rand’s philosophy or that Rand was being hypocritical in this regard.  Rand did stress honesty.   She believed she was honest in her relationship.  She got angry when she felt she was betrayed and that her lover Brandon was not honest with her.  One may approve or disapprove of her actions here, but she was not inconsistent with her stated philosophy.

The second issue is one that I found more troubling when I read the biography.  Rand stressed using logic based upon objective facts.   She often stated that people need to think for themselves and not blindly follow others.  Yet when somebody in her circle developed conclusions that significantly differed from hers, she would treat this person as a heretic and cut the person out of the circle.  I personally do find this disturbing.  I also think it is entirely irrelevant to her whether her ideas are good or bad.

So now let’s go to the attack against her idea, primarily the attack that she promotes selfishness and not caring about others.  Levine offers us the following quote:

My ex-husband wasn’t a bad guy until he started reading Ayn Rand. Then he became a completely selfish jerk who destroyed our family, and our children no longer even talk to him.

I believe that this is a good example of what I have long felt is a glaring misrepresentation of Ayn Rand’s philosophy.  Much of the blame for this misinterpretation falls on Rand herself.  Rand did not respect conventional thinking.  She loved to taunt those she disagreed with.  She wrote a book called “The Virtue of Selfishness”.   I’m sure she chose this title to be provocative.   Rand, however, uses the word selfishness differently than most people use the word selfishness.  I think she did her philosophy a disservice in her choice of this word.  What does she mean by it then?

In Atlas Shrugged, John Galt is Ayn Rand’s primary hero.  Rand described him as the perfect man.  I think Ayn Rand’s philosophy can best be summarized by John Galt’s oath.

I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.

Galt’s oath is fairly straightforward.  He is proclaiming that everybody has the right to live for him or herself and not for the purposes of others.  The primary misinterpretation of Ayn Rand is that people focus on the first part of the oath and not the second.  They say that Rand advocates exploiting others.  If you look at this simple statement, nothing could be further from the truth.  Rand is explicitly stating that we have no right to ask other people to subjugate their own desires and happiness to our own.

Moreover, Ayn Rand’s heroes keep their word no matter what.  Rand decries how people make excuses to explain why they can’t keep their word with lines like “It was beyond my control.  I couldn’t help it.  It’s not my fault.”  Rand’s heroes do not believe people should be able to force them into obligation against their will, but when they voluntarily make an obligation they must fulfill it no matter how difficult this may be.  For example, in Atlas Shrugged Dagne Taggert promised that a key customer that rail line would be completed on time.  When it looked like her railroad company would not be able to make this deadline due to the unavailability of a key part, the railroad bought a manufacturer for the sole reason of having it produce the part on time.

So when Levine cites the wife whose husband became a Rand-reading selfish jerk, this husband certainly was not following the philosophies of Ayn Rand.  When one has a family, one has voluntarily made an obligation. and one always fulfills a freely-chosen obligation.

Also, a common misinterpretation of Ayn Rand is the statement that Rand believes we should never help others.  Rand frequently stated that she has nothing against people helping others.  She just didn’t believe that people should be able to force others to help them.  Ayn Rand’s characters make huge sacrifices for those they care about, including undergoing torture and risking death.  They choose to make these sacrifices because the people they make them for are important to them.

As I stated earlier, I believe one main reason that Ayn Rand is so misinterpreted is that her definition of selfishness, which she thinks is good, differs from the standard definition of selfishness, which most people think is bad.  I would state that the standard definition of selfishness is thinking of oneself first without respect for the rights of others.  I would say that Ayn Rand’s definition of selfishness is thinking of oneself first with full respect for the rights of others.

Levine also made this statement in his article:

While Rand often disparaged Soviet totalitarian collectivism, she had little to say about corporate totalitarian collectivism, as she conveniently neglected the reality that giant U.S. corporations, like the Soviet Union, do not exactly celebrate individualism, freedom, or courage.

Quite frankly, I don’t see how anybody who actually read Atlas Shrugged could make that statement.  Ayn Rand despised crony capitalism where corporations conspire with government to gain an unfair advantage.  One of the main villains in Atlas Shrugged, James Taggert, is a crony capitalist and Rand attacks this practice throughout the book.

The purpose of this post is not for me at this time to explain or defend Ayn Rand’s philosophy.  It just got my goat that this article called her philosophy “evil” and then justified this rather damning accusation by attacking her character and by totally misrepresenting her philosophy.  Ayn Rand believed in logic.  Rand built her philosophy by starting at very low levels and painstakingly building logical arguments.  I have seen many attacks on Ayn Rand.  I have yet to see an attack that focuses on refuting her actual logic.  I would very much welcome it if anybody sees this who can post a comment pointing me to a good, fair refutation of Rand’s logic.

Ayn Rand was a staunch supporter of capitalism and an enemy of communism and socialism.   Capitalism epitomizes the belief that a person can pursue their own dreams.   Communism epitomizes the belief that a people should forsake their own dreams for the betterment of the greater good. In the last twenty five years both China and India have turned from socialism to capitalism and as a result have lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty and into the middle class.  In the name of Communism, China, the Soviet Union, Vietnam, Cambodia, and other countries murdered tens of millions of their own people.  Yet Levine and others call Ayn Rand’s philosophy evil.  How interesting.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 4 – Government helps people. Business exploits people.

Alternate Assumption:  People are helpful when they have an incentive to be helpful.

We hear this all the time.  Government is compassionate and caring.  Business is heartless and cruel.  This assumption was a cornerstone of the argument for nationalizing healthcare.  Health insurance companies have a reputation, deserved or not, for denying benefits.  I have seen countless stories in the newspaper about a very ill person whose insurance company denies a needed operation or medication.  If only government ran healthcare, it would be much more compassionate.

Before we even look at government, let’s look at a different type of insurance.  My city of St. Louis was hit by a major hailstorm a few years ago and my roof was damaged.  Within two days my insurance company had an adjuster at our house.  The adjuster was based out of Dallas.  After the hailstorm, the insurance company flew in adjusters from all over the country to quickly handle the huge influx of claims.  The insurance company could not have been nicer to work with and they quickly paid the claim.  I heard similar stories from friends and neighbors who had different insurance companies.

Should we assume from this that people who work for property insurance companies are nicer than people who work for health insurance companies, or is there another factor here?  Property insurance is an extremely competitive business.  There are many different companies.  Everybody chooses his or her own insurance.  The insurance company’s reputation for being easy to work with and prompt in paying claims is a key factor in the sale.  If a property insurance company gets a bad reputation, their sales plummet.  The property insurance companies have a very strong incentive to be fast and fair in paying claims.

Contrast this with health insurance.  Due to regulations, there are very few health insurance companies to choose from in a state.  Moreover, most people don’t choose their own health insurance.  Their employer chooses the health insurance.  You can’t change your health insurance without changing your job.  The employer wants a benefits package that on paper is at least comparable to health insurance offered by other employers.  If the benefits package appears inadequate, the user might lose values employees or might have to pay additional salary to compensate.  For a given benefits package, the employer is then looking for the insurer who can provide it for the cheapest cost.

Nowhere in this sales equation is there a factor for how promptly, fairly, and courteously the insurance company handles claims.  If a health insurance company is especially generous in handling claims, it may raise their cost basis which would make them less competitive and therefore hurt their business.  Property insurance companies have the incentive to be helpful and health insurance companies have the incentive to not be helpful.

The Veteran’s Administration is a current example of where government runs healthcare.  It is known for providing poor healthcare.  In a recent scandal, veterans died as they were on a months long waiting list for care.

My belief is that neither government nor business is inherently good or bad.  All organizations are composed of people, both good and bad.  Most of us are good when it comes with family and friends we care about.  When we deal with strangers, while there are a few Mother Theresa’s in the world, but most of us try to be polite. On occasion we are more than polite, but on an every day basis, we don’t go out of our way to help people if there is no advantage to us in helping them.  While we may wish that everybody was a whole lot nicer, this is the way that people are, and we are not going to change human nature.

So, for example, if we want to make health insurance more responsive, would it be better to make the health insurance industry more competitive and more like the property insurance industry, or would it be better to make it less competitive and more like the Veteran’s Administration?

If government was inherently more helpful, then everybody would have loved living in the Communist countries where government did everything.  The Berlin wall would have been built to keep the West Berliners from heading east.

Businesses have people.  Governments have people.  With people you get more of what you reward and less of what you punish.  This applies to helpfulness.  It applies to everything.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 3 – America should not favor Americans.

Alternate Assumption:  America should favor American citizens.

I had been planning to discuss this assumption later in the process but this assumption so underpins Obama’s recent executive action on immigration and the entire immigration debate I have moved it up a bit.

First it is important to note that this is strictly a values assumption.  There are no facts to argue here.

The basic assumption is that we are citizens of the world.  Americans are not inherently better than other people in the world.  If our policies favor Americans over other people, we are implying that Americans are more worthy than anybody else.  The moral approach is to treat everybody equally.  Immigration restrictions are immoral because they state that existing Americans have more of a right to be in America than other people in the world.  Moreover, unless you are a native American, you are an immigrant or a descendant of immigrants so it is hypocritical for you to try to restrict immigration.

As Barack Obama said just a few days ago on November 24, 2014 in his immigration speech in Chicago:

If you look at the history of immigration in this country, each successive wave, there have been periods where the folks who were already here suddenly say, well, I don’t want those folks.  Even though the only people who have the right to say that are some Native Americans.

It is clear that the belief that America should not favor Americans is a core value behind President Obama’s immigration approach.    The purpose of this post is not to debate immigration.  I want to look at the core value itself.

This assumption has a further assumption below it.  It states that whenever someone favors one person over another, that person is stating that the more favored person is somehow superior to the less favored person.  I believe that this is a false assumption.  When a parent cares for his or her child, the parent is not saying that this child is more worthy than all other children.  The parent cares for the child because of an emotional attachment and because the parent has assumed a fiduciary duty to act in the interests of the child.

Now let’s move up from the individual to local levels of government.  At the governmental level, we no longer have the emotional attachment, but the fiduciary duty still holds.  A fire department, for example, has the fiduciary duty to protect the homes and businesses within the district from fire.  It does not have the same fiduciary duty to protect the homes in neighboring districts.  This doesn’t mean that if a neighboring district has a fire and there is not currently a fire in the district, that the local fire department shouldn’t assist the neighboring fire department.  If there are simultaneous fires in both districts, however, the local fire department needs to take care of its own residents first.

At the state level, the Missouri government has a duty to protect the citizens of Missouri.  The Illinois government has a duty to protect the citizens of Illinois.  In doing this, neither state is saying that the citizens of its state are better or more worthy people than citizens of the other state.

It is the same at the federal level.  The United States government has a duty to the citizens of the United States.  The Mexican government has a duty to the citizens of Mexico, and the Nigerian government has a duty to the citizens of Nigeria.  This is not racism or any other form of discrimination.  It is a government fulfilling the duty that the government was created for.

Therefore America should favor Americans.  This does not mean that America has the right to attack other countries or expect countries to favor Americans over its own citizens.  America has not only the right but the moral obligation to put the interests of its own citizens first while respecting the obligation of every other country to put its citizens first as well.  Greece should favor Greeks.  Mexico should favor Mexicans.  America should favor Americans.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 2 – The intended effect is the only effect.

Alternate Assumption:  The impact of unintended effects is frequently greater than the impact of the intended effect.

Let’s say we run a store.  For simplicity’s sake, let’s say we have ten customers who each spend $1,000 per month for total sales of $10,000 per month.  We set a goal of increasing sales by 10%.  To do this, we raise prices by 10%.  We expect that we will now have $11,000 in sales each month.

After we increase our prices nine out of the ten customers decides to shop with us as always, but one customer balks at our price increase and chooses to shop at a different store.  Now nine customers spend $1,100 per month for total sales of $9,900/month.  Instead of increasing our sales, we have decreased them.

The unintended effect exceeded the intended effect.  Most people intuitively understand that you can’t just raise prices without losing customers.  Typically, however, the unintended effects aren’t immediately obvious.

New York City had a problem.  Rents were rising and elderly people could no longer afford to stay in their apartments. People were moved by the plight of elderly people being forced to leave their homes, and so they instituted rent control which limited how much landlords could increase rent on their tenants.  This solved the problem of high rent increases forcing out the elderly, but what were the unintended effects?  These included:

  • There was a major housing shortage in New York City causing rents for new residents to skyrocket.
  • As people age and their children move out, they need less room.  Typically people would move to a smaller apartment to save money.  After rent control, renting a new smaller apartment costed more than staying in the rent controlled apartment, so people stayed in apartments that were bigger than they needed.  The unavailability of the large apartments forced young families into higher priced, smaller apartments.
  • Landlords would often not perform proper maintenance on their apartments.  The normal incentive is to keep your existing tenants happy as it is more costly to find a new tenant than to keep collecting checks from the old tenant.  Under rent control, however, if the old tenant moved out the landlord could rent the apartment for much more to a new tenant so landlords were rewarded for performing shoddy maintenance,

Rent control had an intended effect that was good but it also had unintended effects that were bad.  With some thought, the negative affects were fairly predictable.  One just needs to look at what behaviors are being rewarded and what behaviors are being punished.  You will get more of what you reward and less of what you punish.  The people who pushed rent control didn’t do that, however.  They wanted to stop elderly people from being evicted.  If you opposed rent control, that meant you wanted elderly people to be evicted.

Right now there is a current push to substantially increase the minimum wage.  There are proposals before Congress to raise the federal minimum wage from $8.25 to $10.10.  Fast food workers have been protesting demanding a $15 minimum wage. The argument is that if people work full-time, they should be able to earn a “living wage”, enough to pay rent and food and other basic necessary expenses.  This certainly appears to be a reasonable argument.  If the minimum wage increases, it will certainly achieve the intended effect where people who work for the minimum wage will get paid more.

What, however, are the unintended effects of increasing minimum wage?  Employers now have an increased cost and they need to do something about it.  What are their choices?

  • They can absorb all of the costs and reduce profits.  Some employers can and would do this.  This is certainly what many who are pushing for the minimum wage increase are expecting.  In some cases the profits aren’t large enough to cover this cost and the employer would be forced out of business.  Also, if the profitability of a business decreases, it decreases the incentive for people to open new businesses and stops new jobs from being created.  We will never know how many businesses aren’t even started because they are no longer perceived to be profitable.
  • They can pass on the increased costs to consumers.  This will cause everybody’s prices to rise.  This is not a good thing.  Some consumers will reject the price increases and shop elsewhere causing a loss of sales, profits, and eventually jobs.
  • They can hire less people, reducing jobs.  There might be one less person behind the counter and you will wait a little longer for your fast food.
  • They can replace people with machines.  The burger flipping machine might seem to expensive at an $8.25 minimum wage but attractive at a $10.10 minimum wage.

As a result, raising the minimum wage would cause a drop in minimum wage jobs.  One can debate over how large that would be, but there would definitely be a drop.  Also, many people who make minimum wage are teenagers who live at home.  These teenagers do not need a living wage.  They want to help their families or earn extra pocket money.  Most importantly, the minimum wage job is the first rung on the ladder of a career.  The minimum wage job for most is where you get initial experience, prove yourself, and work your way to a higher paying job.  If the minimum wage job isn’t there, the teenager never gets to step on that first rung of the ladder and may never go any higher.

One could conceivably account for that by passing a higher minimum wage for adults than for teenagers.  In this case, you are now favoring the hiring of teenagers over adults, so you are hurting the adults who need the job to survive and helping teenagers gain extra pocket money.

In short, we have a trade off.  The intended effect is that minimum wage workers make more money.  The unintended effect is that some businesses go out of business, other businesses never open, inflation rises, unemployment rises, and some young people never get their career started.

I personally think that the unintended negative effect is greater than the intended positive effect,  This is debatable.  The big problem though is that there is often no debate.  This is because of Bad Assumption #2:  The intended effect is the only affect.  If you oppose the minimum wage increase, you don’t want people to earn a living wage.   You must be mean.  (See Bad Assumption #1.)

While I focused here on my examples of rent control and the minimum wage, this bad assumption is pernicious and can be seen in an endless number of policies that on the surface do good but below the surface do a lot of harm.  It is easy to make this awful assumption.  We need to recognize it and fight against it.

Top Ten Bad Assumptions: 1 – If we disagree, you are either mean or stupid.

Alternate Assumption:  If we disagree, we may have differing assumptions.

This is the first in a top ten list on bad assumptions.  I am interested in why people disagree.  In particular, I am interested why people who I know are intelligent, caring people often strongly disagree with me when it comes to politics.  If I know them to be intelligent and caring, does that mean I am stupid or uncaring?

I am a computer programmer.  I know that any process has three components:  input, process, and output.  If we disagree, we must differ in one or more of these.

The output is our goal, our desired outcome.   We may have differing goals.  If my goals are noble and pure then you must be mean, racist, selfish, unpatriotic or have some other horrible motivation.

The process is our logic.  If I think you might not be a horrible person, then the alternative is that your logic is flawed.  You are stupid.  You are incapable of thinking rationally.  If you weren’t stupid, clearly you would agree with me.

The input is the facts.  Maybe you aren’t mean or stupid.  Maybe you just don’t know the facts.  We disagree because you don’t know the facts.  I present the facts to you and we still disagree.  This means that you are either mean or stupid after all.

I see this thought process all the time.  It seems so obvious, so logical, so true.  There is one missing piece.  The missing piece is assumptions.  Input is more than just facts.  Input is facts and assumptions.  The assumptions are what we believe to be self-evidently true.  For example, one assumption can be that the United States is a great country.  An alternate assumption is that the United States is a terrible country.  There are countless facts that can be used to support or attack the United States.  We don’t go through these facts every time we make a decision though.  We start with are underlying assumption as an input and we go from there.

There are some assumptions that can’t be supported or attacked by facts.  For example, the key assumption in the abortion debate is whether the fetus is a human life.  If you believe that the fetus is a human life, then abortion is simply murder and there is nothing else to talk about.  If you support abortion rights, you support murder.  Alternatively, if you believe that the fetus is not a human life, then abortion is simply a matter of a woman’s right to control her own body and there is nothing else to talk about.  If you don’t support abortion rights, you are either a nut or you hate women.  In actuality, science can not prove or disprove whether a fetus is a human life.  It is a value judgment.

I think that assumptions are very important, and nobody ever talks about them.  If we don’t share the same assumptions, we can’t converse.   If a person’s assumption is that 2+2=5, that person can prove to you with brilliant logic that 4+4=10.  If you don’t share this assumption, however, their logic from that point is meaningless.  As we say in the computer world:  garbage in, garbage out.

The only point where we can hold a meaningful conversation is at the point where we hold common assumptions and our opinions at this point differ.  For example, two priests can have a meaningful conversation about moral values using the New Testament as a starting point and citing scripture to prove their points.  A priest cannot have this same conversation with an Atheist who does not share this same assumption that the New Testament is the authoritative source for moral decisions.

I think that everybody has some bad assumptions that can and should be re-examined.  I am sure that I have bad assumptions.  True discourse comes from reaching that level where we first disagree and then examining our beliefs from there.  This was Socrates’ contribution to the world.  Socrates would start where he and his opponent first agreed and get this opponent to say yes.  He would then build on that with a series of questions to which his opponent had to continue to say yes.  By the end, his opponent had agreed himself into a position that was totally opposed to his original position.

If we say, however, that our opponents are mean or stupid, then we don’t have to listen to their arguments.  Why should we listen to the arguments of stupid and mean people?  Yes there are mean people and the world and there are stupid people in the world.  Rather than initially assuming that our opponents are mean or stupid, I think it important that we assume that they are intelligent people and that we all want the same things.  Most of us all want peace and prosperity and a bright future for our children.  We all would prefer a world where everyone can be happy than a world where everybody is miserable.  Yes there are mean people in the world and there are stupid people in the world.  After we fairly evaluate their arguments, we might conclude they are mean or stupid, but this should not be the starting point.

This is why the first bad assumption in my top ten list of bad assumptions is the belief that if we disagree, you must be mean or stupid.  If we make this assumption, we will never be able to learn from anybody else.  We will never be able to correct our own bad assumptions.

In this series I will be listing what I believe to be bad assumptions along with what I believe to be more valid assumptions, and I will be arguing for my assumptions.  I will state here that my assumptions might be wrong as well.  If anybody reading this finds a flaw in my assumptions, please feel free to point them out.  Unlikely as it may seem, maybe I am the one with the bad assumptions.

Let’s find out.

Helping People Who Cannot Help Themselves: What is Government’s Role?

In the previous segment, I talked about the role of government.  Helping people who cannot help themselves, is typically considered a key role of government.  First, let me state that I think helping people who truly need help is generally a good thing.  Most people are good people and we want to help the needy.  We all know people, good people, who depend on government assistance.  Without this assistance, they might not have the basic necessities of life.  On the surface, it seems that only a cruel, selfish person would question if government should be providing this assistance.

We all see the positive benefits of government aid.  What, however, are the negative effects?

The key phrase to keep in mind in analyzing this, or basically any, issue is “You Get What You Reward”.  (See my previous post https://ralphkoppel.com/2014/03/05/you-get-what-you-reward/).  Whenever we say we will help people who are helpless, we are rewarding helplessness.  As a consequence, we get more helplessness.  For purposes of discussion, lets not talk about people who may or may not be able to help themselves such as an unemployed worker who might or might not be able to get a job.  Let’s talk about a very young child whose parents c,annot or will not provide basic necessities such as food and shelter.

If the government takes care of the child of a neglectful parent, the problem isn’t that we are rewarding the child.  The problem is that we are rewarding the neglectful parent.  For example, we have two single mothers with very limited money.  Mother A uses her money for food and clothing for Child A.  Mother B uses her money to party and have fun.  Without intervention, Child B will starve.  If the government takes over and feeds Child B, then both Child A and Child B are fed.  Mother A though has no fun and Mother B has fun.  We are rewarding Mother B’s neglectful behavior.

When we look at an entire population, people don’t easily divide into two groups.  Rather, we have a spectrum.  In this case, at one end of the spectrum are mothers who will take care of their child on their own, no matter what, and would not accept any aid.  At the other end are mothers who won’t care for their child, no matter what, and will party and have fun without regard to the child.  Most mothers fall somewhere in between.  The more aid government provides, the more likely the mother is to have fun and leave the care of the child to the government.

The same analysis can be used with any kind of government aid.  Whenever we provide more aid, due to the inherent rewards, we get more people who need the aid.  In short, society has in essence three options when it comes to people who can’t help themselves.

  • Society can provide no aid and let the truly helpless people starve.
  • Government can provide aid to helpless people and as a result, we will get more helpless people.
  • Charities, friends, and family can provide aid to helpless people.  This might seem to be the best solution, but what then if private individuals can’t provide enough aid?

In short, there isn’t a good option here.  So is it the proper role of government to help people who can’t help themselves?  I’m still torn on this one.  I know that government aid in the long run often does more harm than good.  On the other side, I am sickened when truly helpless people can’t get the basic necessities.  There really isn’t a good answer.  In the real world, however, none of the above isn’t one of the options we have to choose from.

I would say that whenever possible we should look to friends, families, and charities to provide aid.  This should be the first choice.  As a last step, I do think government does need to have a role in helping people who can’t help themselves.  Any government policies need to be fully aware of the negative consequences of government aid and should be designed to at least attempt to mitigate these consequences.

Is this a good approach?  No, it isn’t.  I do think though it is the least bad of all of the bad approaches available.